by Father Tucker:
0.000000000001% is taken as an alarming success rate, irrefutable proof! And the best part is, you can use this amazing success rate to prove anything from crystal ball gazing to prayer. You can even prove energy-based healing, love spells, telepathy and wishing upon a star. Lick a frog and foretell your own death day! Why, anything is possible in this wonderful world where a 0.000000000001% success rate is considered prime evidence.
I have to chalk it up to hope, AKA the denial of reality. . . but what else am I missing?
Answer by laslo.kovacs
confirmation bias, I think is the term used to describe this error in critical thinking.
e.g.: You pray for something. Two things happen
1. You get it or something like it, and you praise God
2. You don’t get it and your minister tells you that God thinks you aren’t ready for it yet.
3. You get something else and then you claim that it is related to what you wanted, even if it seems only remotely so.
What does not happen:
You don’t say that God failed to answer your prayer.
God wins either way.